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Outcome of Israel-Hezbollah Ceasefire Agreement by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire collapses • 25%
Temporary suspension • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and official statements from involved parties
Story
Israeli Defense Minister Katz Warns of Wider Strikes on Lebanon if Hezbollah Ceasefire Fails
Dec 3, 2024, 10:45 AM
Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz has issued a stern warning to Lebanon, stating that if the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah collapses, Israel will no longer differentiate between Lebanon and Hezbollah in its military operations. Katz emphasized that there would be 'no tolerance' for the Lebanese state if the truce fails, implying that the entire country could face repercussions. This statement was made from Israel's northern border, highlighting the potential for broader military engagement in the region. The ceasefire is critical in maintaining peace, and its failure could lead to significant consequences for Lebanon, as Israel would hold the Lebanese government accountable for Hezbollah's actions.
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Ceasefire violated by Israel • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
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