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Nature of international response to Scarborough Shoal incident by end of 2024
5
China Coast Guard•Philippine•Scarborough Shoal•South China Sea•BRP Datu Bangkaw•Huangyan Dao•Chinese
Resolution / Starting Odds
Condemnation by UN • 33%
Sanctions against China • 33%
No significant international response • 34%
UN or other international body's official statements, credible global news sources
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China Coast Guard Attacks Philippine Ships, Installs Barrier in South China Sea
Apr 30, 2024, 03:55 AM
On Tuesday, the China Coast Guard expelled Philippine vessels from the waters adjacent to Scarborough Shoal in the South China Sea. This action involved the use of water cannons against two Philippine coast guard ships, including the BRP Datu Bangkaw, resulting in damage to one of the vessels. The incident occurred near Huangyan Dao, also known as Scarborough Shoal, and involved a total of ten Chinese ships, including four coast guard and six maritime militia vessels. Additionally, the Chinese forces installed a 380-meter barrier at the entrance to the shoal. The Chinese action has been described as a response to the alleged illegal intrusion of Philippine vessels into the area.
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UN Resolution • 33%
ASEAN Intervention • 33%
No major intervention • 34%
Sanctions on China • 33%
Sanctions on Philippines • 33%
No Sanctions • 34%
Sanctions against China • 25%
Sanctions against Philippines • 25%
Diplomatic mediation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 25%
Military posturing • 25%
No significant response • 25%
No formal response • 20%
Verbal condemnation • 20%
Diplomatic sanctions • 20%
Military demonstration • 20%
Other • 20%
Public condemnation • 33%
Imposition of sanctions • 33%
No significant action • 34%
Condemnation by multiple countries • 33%
Support from allies of China • 33%
No significant international response • 34%
US-Japan joint statement • 25%
UN Security Council discussion • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Bilateral talks between Japan and China • 25%
Sanctions • 33%
Formal protests • 33%
No significant action • 34%
Condemnation from more than 5 countries • 25%
Formal sanctions against China • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Increased military aid to Taiwan from allies • 25%
Condemnation by the UN • 25%
Support from Russia or North Korea • 25%
Neutral stance by the EU • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Economic sanctions against China • 33%
Increased military support for Taiwan • 33%
No significant action taken • 34%