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Level of Chinese military presence at Scarborough Shoal by end of 2024
5
China Coast Guard•Philippine•Scarborough Shoal•South China Sea•BRP Datu Bangkaw•Huangyan Dao•Chinese
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military presence • 33%
Maintained current level • 33%
Reduced military presence • 34%
Satellite imagery, defense analyst reports, and credible news sources
Story
China Coast Guard Attacks Philippine Ships, Installs Barrier in South China Sea
Apr 30, 2024, 03:55 AM
On Tuesday, the China Coast Guard expelled Philippine vessels from the waters adjacent to Scarborough Shoal in the South China Sea. This action involved the use of water cannons against two Philippine coast guard ships, including the BRP Datu Bangkaw, resulting in damage to one of the vessels. The incident occurred near Huangyan Dao, also known as Scarborough Shoal, and involved a total of ten Chinese ships, including four coast guard and six maritime militia vessels. Additionally, the Chinese forces installed a 380-meter barrier at the entrance to the shoal. The Chinese action has been described as a response to the alleged illegal intrusion of Philippine vessels into the area.
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Similar markets
Increased presence • 33%
Maintained current level • 34%
Decreased presence • 33%
Controlled by China • 33%
Controlled by the Philippines • 33%
Joint administration • 34%
Philippines Withdraws • 33%
Philippines Maintains Presence • 33%
Conflict Escalates • 34%
Increased US military presence • 25%
Increased Russian military presence • 25%
Increased Japanese military presence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased US military presence • 33%
Increased South Korean military drills • 33%
No significant change • 34%
