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What will be the nature of the next major international response to China's military activities near Taiwan by November 30, 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Economic sanctions against China • 33%
Increased military support for Taiwan • 33%
No significant action taken • 34%
Statements from international bodies such as the UN, G7, or ASEAN, or verified reports from major international news agencies.
Story
China Conducts Military Drills Encircling Taiwan to Test Seizure Capabilities, UN Calls for Restraint
May 24, 2024, 12:41 AM
China has announced that its ongoing military drills encircling Taiwan are designed to test the military's ability to seize power over the self-ruled island. These drills, reported by AFP and state media, indicate a significant escalation in the region's tensions. The exercises are seen as a demonstration of China's military capabilities and a potential threat to Taiwan's autonomy. The drills have drawn international attention, with calls for restraint from global leaders, including the UN Secretary-General.
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Condemnation by the UN • 25%
Support from Russia or North Korea • 25%
Neutral stance by the EU • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Condemnation from more than 5 countries • 25%
Formal sanctions against China • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Increased military aid to Taiwan from allies • 25%
Condemnation from multiple countries • 33%
Support from any major country • 33%
No significant international reaction • 34%
Deploy additional troops • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Cyberattacks • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Military drill • 33%
Economic sanctions • 33%
Diplomatic protest • 34%
Diplomatic condemnation • 33%
Economic sanctions • 33%
Military intervention • 34%
Increased military readiness • 33%
Seek international support • 33%
Negotiation with China • 34%
Increase in diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Continuation of military pressure • 25%
Economic sanctions against Taiwan • 25%
No change in strategy • 25%
US military intervention • 25%
UN Security Council sanctions • 25%
EU economic sanctions • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Broad international support for China • 25%
Mixed international reaction • 25%
Broad international support for Taiwan • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military support to Taiwan • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
UN condemnation • 33%
Support from EU or NATO • 33%
No significant international response • 34%