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What form of international response will occur due to the drone incident by the end of 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
US-Japan joint statement • 25%
UN Security Council discussion • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Bilateral talks between Japan and China • 25%
Official statements from involved countries' governments
Story
Japan Investigates Drone Footage of MSDF Ship, USS Ronald Reagan at Yokosuka Base
May 9, 2024, 10:16 AM
The Japanese Defense Ministry is investigating a series of incidents involving unauthorized drone activities over military vessels at Yokosuka Naval Base. A video, suspected to be taken by a drone, shows a Maritime Self-Defense Force (MSDF) ship and has raised security concerns. Additionally, there was an unconfirmed report of a drone, possibly launched by a Chinese citizen, flying over the USS Ronald Reagan, a nuclear-powered supercarrier. These incidents have been described by a former defense minister as constituting a 'serious security problem,' especially given that the footage of the MSDF ship was taken in restricted airspace and circulated online.
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UN condemnation • 33%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 33%
No significant international response • 34%
Condemnation of the downing • 34%
Call for negotiations • 33%
No significant reaction • 33%
Diplomatic protests • 20%
Economic sanctions • 20%
Military aid to Russia • 20%
Military aid to Ukraine • 20%
No significant response • 20%
Sanctions on China • 33%
Sanctions on Philippines • 33%
No Sanctions • 34%
Sanctions against Ukraine • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts • 25%
Support for Russia • 25%
No significant action • 25%
No response • 25%
US condemnation • 25%
Russian condemnation • 25%
Chinese condemnation • 25%
Sanctions or actions against Israel • 33%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 33%
No significant international response • 33%
No response • 33%
Denial of involvement • 33%
Confirmation of involvement • 33%
UN condemnation • 33%
Support from EU or NATO • 33%
No significant international response • 34%
Condemnation by the UN • 25%
Support from Russia or North Korea • 25%
Neutral stance by the EU • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 33%
Sanctions against China • 33%
No significant international response • 34%
UN Resolution • 33%
ASEAN Intervention • 33%
No major intervention • 34%