Market
Will the U.S. and El Salvador sign a Safe Third Country agreement by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the U.S. or El Salvador government, or reputable news outlets like CBS News
Story
Trump Administration Negotiates Safe Third Country Asylum Deal with El Salvador to Deport Non-Salvadoran Migrants, Including Venezuelan Gang Members
Jan 26, 2025, 07:54 PM
The Trump administration is negotiating an asylum agreement with El Salvador that would establish a 'Safe Third Country' arrangement. This agreement would enable the U.S. to deport non-Salvadoran migrants to El Salvador, blocking them from requesting asylum in the U.S. Reports indicate that the plan may include the deportation of Venezuelan gang members. The discussions come amid challenges in deporting migrants to other countries, such as Mexico and Colombia, which have reportedly refused flights for deportations. Various sources, including CBS News, have confirmed the ongoing negotiations and the implications of the proposed agreement.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Discussions continue • 33%
Agreement reached • 33%
Discussions abandoned • 33%
Agreement Signed • 25%
Negotiations Ongoing • 25%
Negotiations Terminated • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
No agreements • 33%
Agreement with both • 33%
Agreement with Mexico only • 33%
Agreement with El Salvador only • 33%