Market
Mexico-US New Migration Agreement by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Mexican or U.S. government or reputable news sources reporting on the agreement
Story
Sheinbaum Announces Bilateral Talks with US on Migration and Security Under Trump's Presidency
Jan 22, 2025, 01:57 PM
Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum announced that formal bilateral talks between Mexico and the United States have commenced, following a phone conversation between Mexican Foreign Minister Juan Ramón de la Fuente and U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio. This was the first call Rubio made as Secretary of State, and the discussion, described as cordial, focused on issues of migration and security. This marks the first official communication between the two nations since Donald Trump assumed the U.S. presidency. Sheinbaum expressed optimism about reaching agreements on various topics with the new U.S. administration. In response to Trump's executive orders affecting migration policies, centers for attending to Mexican deportees are being established along the border.
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Enhanced cooperation with U.S. • 25%
Increased domestic drug enforcement • 25%
No significant policy change • 25%
Stricter border enforcement • 25%
Positive Engagement • 25%
Negative Response • 25%
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Yes • 50%
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Other • 25%
Increased cooperation • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Strained Relations • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Improved Cooperation • 25%
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