Market
U.S.-Mexico migration agreement by June 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Mexican or U.S. government
Story
Mexico Receives 4,094 Deportees From U.S. in First Week of Trump's Administration, Majority Mexican
Jan 27, 2025, 03:03 PM
Mexico's President Claudia Sheinbaum has reported that the United States deported 4,094 individuals to Mexico between January 20 and 26, with the majority being Mexican nationals. This figure was disclosed during the first week of Donald Trump's administration as part of the ongoing discussions on migration issues between the two countries. Sheinbaum mentioned the establishment of a working group with the U.S. to address the migration crisis, indicating ongoing efforts to manage the situation.
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Increased cooperation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Reduced cooperation • 25%
Other • 25%
Flights resume with conditions • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Policy change by Mexico • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Policy change by U.S. • 25%
Resolution through negotiation • 25%
Border security • 25%
Deportation policies • 25%
Visa restrictions • 25%
Other • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Neutral Stance • 25%
Negative Response • 25%
Positive Engagement • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Stricter border enforcement • 25%
No significant policy change • 25%
Increased domestic drug enforcement • 25%
Enhanced cooperation with U.S. • 25%