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    What will be the primary challenge in implementing the U.S.-El Salvador agreement by the end of 2025?

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    Resolution / Starting Odds

    Legal challenges • 25%

    Logistical issues • 25%

    Political opposition • 25%

    Public backlash • 25%

    Reports from U.S. immigration authorities or reputable news outlets

    Story

    Trump Administration Negotiates Safe Third Country Asylum Deal with El Salvador to Deport Non-Salvadoran Migrants, Including Venezuelan Gang Members

    Trump Administration Negotiates Safe Third Country Asylum Deal with El Salvador to Deport Non-Salvadoran Migrants, Including Venezuelan Gang Members

    Jan 26, 2025, 07:54 PM

    The Trump administration is negotiating an asylum agreement with El Salvador that would establish a 'Safe Third Country' arrangement. This agreement would enable the U.S. to deport non-Salvadoran migrants to El Salvador, blocking them from requesting asylum in the U.S. Reports indicate that the plan may include the deportation of Venezuelan gang members. The discussions come amid challenges in deporting migrants to other countries, such as Mexico and Colombia, which have reportedly refused flights for deportations. Various sources, including CBS News, have confirmed the ongoing negotiations and the implications of the proposed agreement.

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    Economic impact • 25%

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    Discussions continue • 33%

    Agreement reached • 33%

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    Transnational Gangs • 25%

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    Agreement with El Salvador only • 33%

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    Agreement with both • 33%

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