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What will TikTok's valuation be in an acquisition deal by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than $500 billion • 25%
$500 billion to $750 billion • 25%
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Financial reports or official announcements regarding the acquisition
Story
Trump Open to Musk or Ellison Buying TikTok, Suggests US Get Half of $1 Trillion Value
Jan 21, 2025, 11:16 PM
President Donald Trump stated that he is open to Elon Musk purchasing TikTok, saying, "I would be if he wanted to buy it." Trump mentioned that he has met with TikTok's major owners and emphasized that the value of TikTok depends on obtaining a permit from the United States government, noting that without such a permit, it is "worthless," but with one, it could be worth up to $1 trillion. He suggested that if a deal is made, the United States should receive half of the value, saying, "I am thinking of saying to someone to buy TikTok and give half to the United States." Trump also expressed openness to Oracle Chairman Larry Ellison buying the app. This comes amid ongoing national security concerns surrounding TikTok's operations in the United States.
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$750 billion to $1 trillion • 25%
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$20 billion to $30 billion • 25%
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$10 billion to $20 billion • 25%
Sold to non-US company • 25%
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Sold to US-based company • 25%
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Elon Musk acquires TikTok • 25%
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Larry Ellison acquires TikTok • 25%
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TikTok resumes operations under new ownership • 25%
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ByteDance sells TikTok U.S. operations • 25%
TikTok remains shut down in the U.S. • 25%
Elon Musk • 25%
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Larry Ellison • 25%
Other • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban lifted with no sale or government ownership • 25%
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U.S. government ownership • 25%