Market
What will be the outcome of the TikTok acquisition bid by January 19, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Acquisition Successful • 25%
Acquisition Unsuccessful • 25%
Negotiations Extended • 25%
Deal Canceled • 25%
Official announcements from ByteDance or the acquiring parties
Story
Kevin O'Leary and Frank McCourt Bid to Buy TikTok from ByteDance, Seek Trump's Support to Prevent U.S. Ban
Jan 6, 2025, 08:58 PM
Shark Tank investor Kevin O'Leary has announced that he is joining with billionaire Frank McCourt in a bid to acquire TikTok from its Chinese parent company ByteDance to prevent the app from being banned in the United States. The multibillion-dollar deal aims to be finalized by January 19th. O'Leary plans to rewrite TikTok's algorithm to address security concerns. He met with President Donald Trump at Mar-a-Lago over the weekend to inform him of the plan and to request assistance from the administration, stating that they will need the government's help to close the deal.
View original story
Similar markets
Not sold and banned • 25%
Other • 25%
Sold to another non-Chinese entity • 25%
Sold to Kevin O'Leary • 25%
Other party acquires TikTok • 25%
No acquisition occurs • 25%
Elon Musk acquires TikTok • 25%
Larry Ellison acquires TikTok • 25%
TikTok sold to an approved buyer • 25%
Supreme Court upholds ban and TikTok shuts down • 25%
Supreme Court delays or overturns the ban • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk's X • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Other • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk • 25%
Sold to another U.S. entity • 25%
Not sold, ban overturned • 25%
Operations banned in the U.S. • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Continues operations without change • 25%
Acquired by Elon Musk • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Extension granted • 25%
No sale completed, TikTok banned • 25%
Sold to a non-U.S., non-Chinese company • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sold to another party • 25%
Not sold • 25%
Sale postponed • 25%
Sold to McCourt and O’Leary • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues in the U.S. • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
Temporary extension granted • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Not banned, no divestment • 25%
Not banned, but ByteDance divests • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Banned in U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
TikTok sold to US company • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Other • 25%