Market
Outcome of TikTok acquisition talks by June 30, 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Elon Musk purchases TikTok • 25%
Larry Ellison purchases TikTok • 25%
Neither purchases TikTok • 25%
Other party purchases TikTok • 25%
Official announcements from involved parties or major news outlets
Story
Trump Open to Musk or Ellison Buying TikTok, Suggests US Get Half of $1 Trillion Value
Jan 21, 2025, 11:16 PM
President Donald Trump stated that he is open to Elon Musk purchasing TikTok, saying, "I would be if he wanted to buy it." Trump mentioned that he has met with TikTok's major owners and emphasized that the value of TikTok depends on obtaining a permit from the United States government, noting that without such a permit, it is "worthless," but with one, it could be worth up to $1 trillion. He suggested that if a deal is made, the United States should receive half of the value, saying, "I am thinking of saying to someone to buy TikTok and give half to the United States." Trump also expressed openness to Oracle Chairman Larry Ellison buying the app. This comes amid ongoing national security concerns surrounding TikTok's operations in the United States.
View original story
Similar markets
No Decision • 25%
Deal Approved • 25%
Deal Rejected • 25%
Deal Modified • 25%
Larry Ellison acquires TikTok • 25%
Other party acquires TikTok • 25%
Elon Musk acquires TikTok • 25%
No acquisition occurs • 25%
Deal rejected by China • 25%
Deal approved by China • 25%
No deal reached • 25%
Further negotiations ongoing • 25%
Ban implemented • 25%
Sale to US company • 25%
Partnership with US company • 25%
No change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
TikTok divests U.S. operations • 25%
TikTok remains operational with no changes • 25%
Acquired by Elon Musk • 25%
Remains banned • 25%
Operations resumed under ByteDance • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Acquisition Successful • 25%
Deal Canceled • 25%
Acquisition Unsuccessful • 25%
Negotiations Extended • 25%
Extension granted • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Operations continue with restrictions • 25%
Operations continue without changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Operations cease • 25%
Banned • 25%
Deal finalized • 25%
Other • 25%
90-day extension granted • 25%
Remains under ByteDance ownership • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Sold to another buyer • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk's company X • 25%
Sold to Kevin O'Leary • 25%
Other • 25%
Not sold and banned • 25%
Sold to another non-Chinese entity • 25%