Market
What will be the valuation of TikTok U.S. if a merger/divestment occurs by April 19, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Over $50 billion • 25%
$40-50 billion • 25%
$30-40 billion • 25%
Under $30 billion • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok or credible financial news sources
Story
Perplexity AI Proposes Merger With TikTok U.S., Valued Over $50 Billion, Amid Potential Ban
Jan 18, 2025, 08:31 PM
Perplexity AI has submitted a bid to merge with TikTok's U.S. operations, proposing the creation of a new entity that would combine Perplexity, TikTok U.S., and new capital partners. The bid comes as TikTok faces a potential ban in the U.S. set to take effect on January 19, unless ByteDance, TikTok's parent company, divests or the ban is delayed. The proposed merger structure would allow most of ByteDance's existing investors to retain their equity stakes and aims to enhance Perplexity's offerings with more video content. President-elect Donald Trump has indicated he may grant TikTok a 90-day extension to finalize a deal after his inauguration on Monday. The bid is estimated to value TikTok U.S. at over $50 billion.
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$750 billion to $1 trillion • 25%
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$500 billion to $750 billion • 25%
$10 billion to $20 billion • 25%
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Ban lifted with no sale or government ownership • 25%
U.S. government ownership • 25%
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$750 billion to $1 trillion • 25%
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$500 billion to $750 billion • 25%
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Negotiations Extended • 25%
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Sold to a non-U.S., non-Chinese company • 25%
Further extension granted • 25%
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Sold to US-based company • 25%
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ByteDance divests • 25%
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Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
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Extension granted • 25%
Sold to a non-U.S., non-Chinese company • 25%
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Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Acquired by Kevin O'Leary • 25%
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