Market
What will ByteDance do next if TikTok ban is upheld?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Further legal appeal • 25%
Sale of TikTok • 25%
Compliance with ban • 25%
Other action • 25%
Official statements from ByteDance or credible news sources
Story
TikTok Files Emergency Appeal to Block U.S. Ban by ByteDance as 170 Million Americans Face January 19 Deadline
Dec 16, 2024, 10:02 PM
TikTok has filed an emergency appeal with the U.S. Supreme Court seeking to block a federal law that could lead to a nationwide ban on the app unless its China-based parent company, ByteDance, agrees to sell it. The appeal comes as the law's enforcement deadline approaches on January 19, 2024. TikTok's legal team argues that the ban poses a significant threat to the platform's operations in the United States, which is used by approximately 170 million Americans. The company is urging the Supreme Court to intervene before the deadline to prevent the law from taking effect. The request follows a recent ruling by three federal appeals court judges who upheld the law, increasing pressure on TikTok to act swiftly.
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File another legal challenge • 25%
Seek diplomatic intervention • 25%
Cease U.S. operations permanently • 25%
Other action • 25%
Sell TikTok US operations • 25%
Appeal the ban • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Other • 25%
Continues operations without compliance • 25%
Sells TikTok to a non-China-based company • 25%
Permanently shuts down TikTok in the U.S. • 25%
Negotiates a delay or solution with U.S. government • 25%
Develop alternative apps • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Sell TikTok • 25%
Focus on non-U.S. markets • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Complete divestment from TikTok • 25%
Partial divestment or restructuring • 25%
Legal appeal and no divestment • 25%
Sells TikTok U.S. operations • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Remains banned throughout 2025 • 25%
Wins legal challenge and resumes operations • 25%
Other • 25%
Complete withdrawal from U.S. market • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
Divestment from TikTok • 25%
Operations continue as is • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. company • 25%
Legal appeal filed • 25%
Negotiate settlement • 25%
File new lawsuit • 25%
No major action • 25%
Comply with divestment • 25%
Alternative business strategy • 25%
Other response • 25%
Legal action • 25%
Negotiation with US authorities • 25%
Challenge in court • 25%
Divest from ByteDance • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Comply with U.S. ban • 25%
Seek deadline extension • 25%
Other • 25%
Challenge ban legally • 25%