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What will be Ukraine's NATO membership status by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Full NATO membership granted • 25%
Membership invitation extended • 25%
Security guarantees without NATO membership • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Full Member • 25%
Candidate Status • 25%
Pending • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Official NATO communications or Ukrainian government announcements
Story
Zelenskyy Optimistic About Ukraine's NATO Membership, Urges Diplomats to Persuade Allies
Dec 22, 2024, 04:21 PM
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has expressed optimism about Ukraine's potential membership in NATO, stating that it is 'achievable' but will require concerted efforts to persuade allies. Speaking to Ukrainian diplomats, Zelenskyy emphasized that NATO membership for Ukraine would be a political decision and stressed the importance of fighting for this decision at all necessary levels. He highlighted that allies need to understand the benefits Ukraine could bring to NATO and how its membership could stabilize global relations. Zelenskyy's comments come amidst ongoing discussions about Ukraine's security and its relationship with the Western military alliance.
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Official candidate status • 25%
No progress • 25%
Other status • 25%
Full NATO member • 25%
Membership application pending • 25%
Membership granted • 25%
No application • 25%
Membership application rejected • 25%
Membership granted • 25%
Membership denied • 25%
Membership postponed • 25%
Process ongoing • 25%
Membership granted by 2025 • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Membership denied • 25%
Membership delayed beyond 2025 • 25%
No change • 25%
Membership denied • 25%
Membership granted • 25%
Membership delayed • 25%
Membership invitation issued but not finalized • 25%
Ukraine receives full membership • 25%
No progress on membership • 25%
Membership negotiations ongoing • 25%
Membership negotiations started • 25%
Membership granted • 25%
Membership delayed • 25%
Membership rejected • 25%
NATO delays membership • 25%
NATO accelerates membership • 25%
NATO maintains current stance • 25%
NATO withdraws offer • 25%