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What will be the status of Ukraine's NATO membership process by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Membership granted • 25%
Membership postponed • 25%
Membership denied • 25%
Process ongoing • 25%
Official NATO announcements or major news outlets reporting on Ukraine's NATO membership status
Story
Russia Rejects Trump's Proposals to Delay Ukraine's NATO Membership and Deploy Peacekeepers
Dec 30, 2024, 10:26 AM
Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov has expressed dissatisfaction with proposals reportedly discussed by President-elect Donald Trump and his team to end the war in Ukraine. These proposals include postponing Ukraine's NATO membership for 20 years and deploying European and British peacekeeping forces in Ukraine. Lavrov stated that Moscow is not satisfied with these suggestions, which were attributed to representatives of Trump's team. The comments come as speculation about potential future peace negotiations continues, following nearly three years of conflict that has resulted in hundreds of thousands of casualties.
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Other status • 25%
No progress • 25%
Official candidate status • 25%
Full NATO member • 25%
Security guarantees without NATO membership • 25%
Candidate Status • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Full Member • 25%
Membership invitation extended • 25%
Pending • 25%
Full NATO membership granted • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Membership denied • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Membership delayed beyond 2025 • 25%
Membership granted by 2025 • 25%
Membership granted • 25%
Membership application rejected • 25%
No application • 25%
Membership application pending • 25%
Membership delayed • 25%
No change • 25%
Membership granted • 25%
Membership denied • 25%
Membership negotiations started • 25%
Membership rejected • 25%
Membership delayed • 25%
Membership granted • 25%
No progress on membership • 25%
Membership negotiations ongoing • 25%
Membership invitation issued but not finalized • 25%
Ukraine receives full membership • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Compromise reached • 25%
Ukraine continues NATO ambitions • 25%
Ukraine abandons NATO ambitions • 25%
