Market
What will be the status of Ukraine by December 31, 2025?
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Nikolai Patrushev•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Ukraine•Russia•United States•Western•Komsomolskaya Pravda•Patrushev•Moscow•London•Brussels•Washington
Resolution / Starting Odds
Independent sovereign state • 25%
Annexed by Russia • 25%
Divided into regions controlled by different entities • 25%
Other status • 25%
Official recognition by international bodies or governmental announcements
Story
Putin's Advisor Patrushev Insists on Exclusive US-Russia Talks on Ukraine, Predicts Demise by 2025
Jan 14, 2025, 12:14 PM
Nikolai Patrushev, a prominent advisor to Russian President Vladimir Putin, has stated that negotiations regarding Ukraine should exclusively involve Russia and the United States, excluding other Western countries. In an interview with Komsomolskaya Pravda, Patrushev emphasized that Moscow has no interest in discussing Ukraine with London or Brussels, indicating a preference for direct talks between Moscow and Washington. Additionally, Patrushev predicted that Ukraine might cease to exist by the end of 2025, adding a provocative forecast to the ongoing geopolitical tensions.
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Similar markets
Other • 25%
Recognized as sovereign • 25%
Divided into multiple states • 25%
Annexed by Russia • 25%
Conflict ongoing • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Full peace agreement • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Under Russian control • 25%
Ceased to exist as a sovereign state • 25%
Partially sovereign with limited recognition • 25%
Fully sovereign and recognized • 25%
No negotiations occur • 25%
Negotiations result in comprehensive agreements • 25%
Negotiations result in partial agreements • 25%
Negotiations occur with no agreements • 25%
Increased territorial control • 25%
Loss of territory • 25%
Other • 25%
Stalemate with current borders • 25%
No application • 25%
Membership application pending • 25%
Membership application rejected • 25%
Membership granted • 25%
New peace talks initiated • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increased military support • 25%
Significant territorial changes • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Ukraine becomes a Russian ally • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine splits into regions • 25%
Ukraine remains sovereign • 25%
Ukraine remains neutral • 25%
Ukraine aligns with Russia • 25%
Ukraine joins NATO • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%