Market
What will be TikTok's ownership status by January 19, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Owned by MrBeast • 25%
Owned by another entity • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Official announcements from ByteDance, MrBeast, or major news outlets
Story
MrBeast Eyes $50 Billion TikTok Purchase to Avert U.S. Ban by January 19
Jan 14, 2025, 03:41 PM
YouTube star MrBeast, whose real name is James Donaldson, has expressed interest in purchasing TikTok to prevent its potential ban in the United States. The ban, set to take effect on January 19, 2025, stems from a law signed by President Joe Biden, which requires TikTok's Chinese parent company, ByteDance, to divest from the app or face prohibition. MrBeast's statement follows a U.S. Supreme Court hearing on January 10, 2025, where arguments were presented regarding the law. TikTok, valued at $50 billion, could impact over 170 million U.S. users if banned. MrBeast has also mentioned that multiple billionaires have reached out to him about the potential acquisition, indicating significant interest in the platform's U.S. operations.
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Sold to US company • 25%
Other • 25%
Joint US-China ownership • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Sold to US company • 25%
Sold to non-US company • 25%
ByteDance retains ownership • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Banned in U.S. • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
International ownership • 25%
U.S. ownership • 25%
ByteDance retains ownership • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Remains with current ownership • 25%
Sold to a single buyer • 25%
Sold to multiple buyers • 25%
Operations cease • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Other acquisition • 25%
Acquired by Project Liberty • 25%
US-based company • 25%
International consortium • 25%
Other • 25%
Remain under ByteDance • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Other • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk • 25%
Sold to another U.S. entity • 25%
Not sold, ban overturned • 25%
Operations banned in the U.S. • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk's X • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Supreme Court delays or overturns the ban • 25%
TikTok sold to an approved buyer • 25%
Supreme Court upholds ban and TikTok shuts down • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
Owned by another U.S. entity • 25%
Operations ceased • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Owned by Kevin O'Leary • 25%
ByteDance retains ownership • 25%
No change • 25%
Partial divestment • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
Kevin O'Leary and Frank McCourt • 25%
ByteDance retains ownership • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Another non-Chinese entity • 25%
No Sale • 25%
Other US Entity • 25%
ByteDance • 25%
Kevin O'Leary • 25%