Market
What will be TikTok's status in the U.S. by April 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Banned • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Operations continue as is • 25%
Other • 25%
Granted Extension • 25%
Sold to U.S. Entity • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok, U.S. government, or reported by major news outlets
Story
Trump Signals He Will Grant TikTok 90-Day Extension, Announcement Expected Monday
Jan 18, 2025, 05:45 PM
President-elect Donald Trump stated in an interview with NBC News's Kristen Welker that he will 'most likely' grant TikTok a 90-day extension to avoid a potential ban in the United States after he assumes office on Monday. Trump added, "If I decide to do that, I'll probably announce it on Monday," indicating that he hasn't made a final decision yet. The extension would provide TikTok's Chinese parent company, ByteDance, additional time to address national security concerns or negotiate a sale to a U.S. entity.
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Similar markets
Partially owned by the U.S. • 25%
Banned again • 25%
Remains unchanged • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Resumes normal operations • 25%
Sold to U.S. buyer • 25%
U.S. government ownership • 25%
Operations banned • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Divested • 25%
TikTok remains available without changes • 25%
TikTok banned in the US • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok available with ByteDance divestment • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continues operations without changes • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%
Banned completely • 25%
Allowed to operate without restrictions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Allowed to operate with restrictions • 25%
Banned • 25%
Remains operational without changes • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Extension granted, TikTok operates • 25%
No change, TikTok operates as is • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
TikTok sold to non-Chinese entity • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Operational changes without sale • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
TikTok is sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok remains operational • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Operational under new ownership • 25%
Remains operational without changes • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Other • 25%
TikTok remains operational with new ownership • 25%
TikTok remains operational with ByteDance ownership • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
Banned • 25%
Under appeal • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Operational without restrictions • 25%
Partially operational • 25%
Still banned • 25%
Other • 25%
Fully operational • 25%