Market
What will be the status of TikTok in the U.S. by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Operational changes without sale • 25%
Official announcements and legal documents
Story
U.S. Court Orders ByteDance to Sell TikTok by January 2025 or Face Ban
Dec 6, 2024, 05:03 PM
A U.S. federal appeals court has unanimously upheld a law requiring ByteDance, the China-based parent company of TikTok, to sell the popular video-sharing app to an American owner by January 19, 2025, or face a ban in the United States. The U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit ruled that the law, passed by Congress in April and signed by President Joe Biden, is constitutional, dismissing TikTok's challenge. The decision brings TikTok closer to a potential nationwide ban over national security concerns related to its Chinese ownership and data collection practices. TikTok is expected to appeal the decision to the U.S. Supreme Court.
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Other outcome • 25%
Banned completely • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Allowed to operate without restrictions • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Banned • 25%
Allowed to operate with restrictions • 25%
Remains operational without changes • 25%
Granted Extension • 25%
Banned • 25%
Operations continue as is • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
Sold to U.S. Entity • 25%
Banned again • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Partially owned by the U.S. • 25%
Remains unchanged • 25%
U.S. government ownership • 25%
Sold to U.S. buyer • 25%
Resumes normal operations • 25%
Operations banned • 25%
Operates independently • 25%
Acquired by a US company • 25%
Continues with ByteDance • 25%
Ceases US operations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Banned • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%
Continues operations without changes • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok sold and operates under new ownership • 25%
TikTok operates without changes • 25%
TikTok operates with restrictions • 25%
Operational under new ownership • 25%
Banned • 25%
Operational without restrictions • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Remains operational without changes • 25%
Operational under new ownership • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Other • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Divested • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok banned in the US • 25%
TikTok remains available without changes • 25%
TikTok available with ByteDance divestment • 25%
TikTok remains operational • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok is sold to a U.S. company • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Partial Operations • 25%
Resumes Operations • 25%
Continues Ban • 25%
Operations unaffected • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Acquired by US company • 25%
Continues with conditions • 25%