Market
What will be TikTok's status in the U.S. by January 19, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Banned • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%
Continues operations without changes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. government or major news outlets.
Story
TikTok Denies Reports of Sale to Elon Musk as U.S. Ban Looms on January 19
Jan 14, 2025, 12:19 PM
TikTok has firmly denied reports that China is considering a sale of the app's U.S. operations to Elon Musk, labeling such claims as 'pure fiction.' The social media platform faces a potential ban in the U.S. on January 19, unless its parent company, ByteDance, divests its U.S. operations. The U.S. government has expressed concerns over national security, citing fears that TikTok could be used for spying or spreading propaganda by the Chinese government. Despite these tensions, TikTok has maintained that it will not sell its U.S. operations and has dismissed any speculation about a deal with Musk, according to a Bloomberg report.
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TikTok is sold to a U.S. company • 25%
TikTok remains operational • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
Banned • 25%
Operational without restrictions • 25%
Under appeal • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Banned again • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Partially owned by the U.S. • 25%
Remains unchanged • 25%
Operations banned • 25%
Sold to U.S. buyer • 25%
Resumes normal operations • 25%
U.S. government ownership • 25%
Banned • 25%
Operations continue as is • 25%
Other • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Granted Extension • 25%
Sold to U.S. Entity • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok continues operations without change • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. buyer • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok remains available without changes • 25%
TikTok banned in the US • 25%
Banned • 25%
Divested • 25%
Other • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
TikTok available with ByteDance divestment • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok is sold and remains operational • 25%
TikTok remains operational without changes • 25%
TikTok voluntarily shuts down operations • 25%
TikTok is banned and becomes inaccessible • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Remains operational without changes • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Banned completely • 25%
Allowed to operate with restrictions • 25%
Allowed to operate without restrictions • 25%
Continues operations • 33%
Temporarily suspended • 33%
Permanently shut down • 33%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok remains available without ByteDance divestment • 25%
TikTok remains available with ByteDance divestment • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
Shuts down on January 19 • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continues operation without restrictions • 25%
Continues operation with restrictions • 25%