Market
What will be the threat level from Gaza to Israel by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No threat • 25%
Reduced threat • 25%
Unchanged threat • 25%
Increased threat • 25%
Security assessments by Israeli Defense Forces and international security experts
Story
Netanyahu Congratulates Trump, Vows to Defeat Hamas and Iran's Terror Axis
Jan 20, 2025, 06:04 PM
On January 20, 2025, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu congratulated U.S. President Donald Trump on his second inauguration, extending warm wishes to Trump and First Lady Melania Trump. Netanyahu expressed optimism about the future of U.S.-Israel relations, stating that "the best days of our alliance are yet to come." He emphasized the importance of working together to secure the release of remaining Israeli hostages, destroy Hamas's military capabilities, end its political rule in Gaza, and ensure that Gaza no longer poses a threat to Israel. Netanyahu also voiced confidence in completing the defeat of Iran's "terror axis," ushering in a new era of peace and prosperity in the region.
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Similar markets
De-escalation • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Moderate • 25%
None • 25%
Low • 25%
High • 25%
Resumption of conflict • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Lasting peace agreement • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing conflict • 25%
Hamas retains significant control • 25%
Complete defeat of Hamas • 25%
Partial defeat with cease-fire • 25%
Strengthened • 25%
Weakened • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Dismantled • 25%
Hamas strengthened • 25%
Hamas regime weakened but not collapsed • 25%
Hamas regime collapsed • 25%
No significant change in Hamas regime • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Hostage deal with no further conflict • 25%
Complete Israeli control • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Resumption of conflict • 25%
Continued ceasefire • 25%
New negotiations • 25%
Stable peace • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire maintained • 25%
Partial military control of Gaza • 25%
Full military control of Gaza • 25%