Market
Significant increase in IDF-Hamas conflict incidents in Gaza by June 30, 2025?
2
Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Hamas•Musa Bin Nusair•Daraj Tuffah•Gaza•Israeli military•Aman•Shin Bet•Southern Command•Israeli
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Verified news reports and official statements from IDF and Hamas
Story
IDF Airstrike Targets Hamas Command Center in Gaza's Former Musa Bin Nusair School
Dec 22, 2024, 06:49 AM
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) conducted an airstrike overnight targeting Hamas operatives at a command and control center located in a former school, the Musa Bin Nusair school, in the Daraj Tuffah area of Gaza. The operation was carried out based on intelligence from the Israeli military's Aman, the Shin Bet security service, and the Southern Command. The IDF reported that the center was utilized by Hamas to plan and execute attacks against Israeli forces. Efforts were made during the strike to minimize civilian harm.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Continuation of current conflict levels • 25%
Significant reduction in hostilities • 25%
Less than 450 • 25%
More than 550 • 25%
450 to 500 • 25%
501 to 550 • 25%
Continuation of current conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Significant reduction in Hamas infrastructure • 25%
Continued military escalation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Mediation talks ongoing • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%