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What will be the state of Hamas's military capabilities in Gaza by July 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Strengthened • 25%
Weakened • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Dismantled • 25%
Reports from intelligence agencies or verified news sources
Story
IDF Constructs New Strategic Corridor in Northern Gaza, Completes 2 Kilometer Netzarim Corridor Amid Ongoing Military Operations Against Hamas
Dec 25, 2024, 08:37 AM
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) are constructing a new strategic corridor in northern Gaza aimed at creating a buffer zone and facilitating military operations against Hamas, according to reports from the Washington Post and other sources. This development follows the completion of the Netzarim Corridor in central Gaza. Satellite imagery has indicated the IDF's efforts to clear a route in the northern region. Additionally, the IDF has recently demolished two Hamas attack tunnels, which spanned a total of 2 kilometers, located in southern and central Gaza. These tunnels were reportedly intended for use by Hamas in military operations.
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No significant change • 25%
Increased military action • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic efforts • 25%
No significant military action taken • 25%
Partial defeat with ongoing conflict • 25%
Complete defeat of Hamas • 25%
Hostage deal reached, no military action • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Return to pre-October 7 status quo • 25%
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Ongoing conflict • 25%
Complete Israeli control • 25%
Hostage deal with no further conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Hamas significantly weakened • 25%
Hamas retains capabilities • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
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No significant change in Hamas regime • 25%
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