Market
Will Ukraine cease to exist as a sovereign state by December 31, 2025?
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Nikolai Patrushev•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Ukraine•Russia•United States•Western•Komsomolskaya Pravda•Patrushev•Moscow•London•Brussels•Washington
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Recognition by major international bodies or UN membership status
Story
Putin's Advisor Patrushev Insists on Exclusive US-Russia Talks on Ukraine, Predicts Demise by 2025
Jan 14, 2025, 12:14 PM
Nikolai Patrushev, a prominent advisor to Russian President Vladimir Putin, has stated that negotiations regarding Ukraine should exclusively involve Russia and the United States, excluding other Western countries. In an interview with Komsomolskaya Pravda, Patrushev emphasized that Moscow has no interest in discussing Ukraine with London or Brussels, indicating a preference for direct talks between Moscow and Washington. Additionally, Patrushev predicted that Ukraine might cease to exist by the end of 2025, adding a provocative forecast to the ongoing geopolitical tensions.
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Ceased to exist as a sovereign state • 25%
Under Russian control • 25%
Partially sovereign with limited recognition • 25%
Fully sovereign and recognized • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Russia gains territory • 25%
Territory changes hands multiple times • 25%
Ukraine gains territory • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Full peace agreement • 25%
Conflict ongoing • 25%
