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What will be the regional response to U.S.-Iran diplomatic efforts by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Supportive • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Reports from major news outlets or official statements from regional governments
Story
Trump Appoints Middle East Envoy Steve Witkoff to Lead Iran Diplomacy on Nuclear Agreement
Jan 23, 2025, 04:04 PM
President Donald Trump is set to appoint Steve Witkoff, his Middle East envoy, to lead diplomatic efforts concerning Iran, according to multiple sources including U.S. officials and reports from the Financial Times. This move suggests that Trump is inclined to explore diplomatic avenues before escalating pressure on Tehran. Witkoff's appointment is seen as a signal of Trump's willingness to negotiate a new nuclear agreement with Iran, reflecting a strategy to address Washington's concerns over Iran's nuclear program through diplomacy.
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Military Intervention • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Diplomatic Negotiations • 25%
New Sanctions • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Severed diplomatic ties • 25%
Demands concessions • 25%
Engages in talks • 25%
Escalates nuclear activities • 25%
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Comprehensive Peace Agreement • 25%
Increased Tensions • 25%
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Partial Agreement • 25%
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No change • 25%
No talks held • 25%
Successful agreement • 25%
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Iran-US talks initiated • 25%
Iran-Israel talks initiated • 25%
Tri-party agreement reached • 25%
No significant diplomatic progress • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Improved relations with Iran • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased tensions with Iran • 25%
Status Quo • 25%
Worsened Relations • 25%
Improved Relations • 25%
Military Conflict • 25%
Stalemate with no agreement • 25%
Successful diplomatic agreement • 25%
Escalation to military conflict • 25%
Successful agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
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Deterioration • 25%
Improvement • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
General support • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%