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What diplomatic developments will occur involving Iran, the US, and Israel by the end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Iran-US talks initiated • 25%
Iran-Israel talks initiated • 25%
Tri-party agreement reached • 25%
No significant diplomatic progress • 25%
Official announcements from the governments of Iran, the US, or Israel
Story
Antonio Guterres Urges Iran to Renounce Nuclear Weapons at World Economic Forum in Davos
Jan 22, 2025, 01:53 PM
United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres has urged Iran to take the first step towards improving relations with its neighbors and the United States by clearly renouncing the development of nuclear weapons. Speaking at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Guterres emphasized the importance of Iran engaging constructively with other countries in the region. He highlighted that the most relevant issue is the relationship between Iran, Israel, and the United States, expressing hope that Iran would definitively clarify its stance against possessing nuclear weapons.
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Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
Increased Tensions • 25%
Comprehensive Peace Agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Deterioration • 25%
Improvement • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Severed diplomatic ties • 25%
No talks held • 25%
Talks held but no agreement • 25%
Successful agreement • 25%
Talks initiated but stalled • 25%
Successful diplomatic agreement • 25%
Stalemate with no agreement • 25%
Escalation to military conflict • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Successful hostage release • 25%
Military action • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Military Conflict • 25%
Status Quo • 25%
Worsened Relations • 25%
Improved Relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Military conflict • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%
Talks continue without agreement • 25%
Talks break down • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Diplomatic agreement reached • 25%
Iran develops nuclear weapon • 25%
No significant change • 25%
US conducts military strike • 25%
Military conflict • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%