Market
What will be the outcome of U.S. diplomatic efforts in the Middle East by the end of 2025?
2
Marco Rubio•Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Donald Trump•United States•Israel•Trump•Rubio•Iran•Hamas•Gaza
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations with Iran • 25%
Increased tensions with Iran • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. Department of State, Israeli government, or major international news outlets.
Story
Rubio Reaffirms U.S. Support for Israel, Discusses Iran Threats and Gaza Hostages with Netanyahu
Jan 22, 2025, 10:17 PM
U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio spoke with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu two days after President Donald Trump's inauguration to reaffirm the United States' steadfast support for Israel, emphasizing that maintaining this support is a top priority for President Trump. During the call, Rubio also expressed his anticipation to work together on addressing threats posed by Iran, exploring ways to advance peace in the region, and assisting in the release of all remaining hostages held by Hamas in Gaza.
View original story
Similar markets
Ceasefire achieved • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Humanitarian aid to Gaza • 25%
Military aid to Israel • 25%
New peace talks initiated • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Introduces new initiatives • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Continues current strategy • 25%
Reduces involvement • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Increased Tensions • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
Comprehensive Peace Agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Successful agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Iran • 25%
Other • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Israel-Palestine peace process • 25%
Failed transition • 25%
Successful transition • 25%
Partial transition • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
No talks held • 25%
Successful agreement • 25%
Talks held but no agreement • 25%
Talks initiated but stalled • 25%
Severed diplomatic ties • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Strengthened relations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Weakened relations • 25%