Market
What will be the primary resolution of U.S. interests in Greenland by the end of 2025?
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Donald Trump•Greenland•Trump•Denmark•Charlie Kirk•United States•Danish•Mette Frederiksen•NATO•Arctic
Resolution / Starting Odds
Greenland becomes part of the U.S. • 25%
Increased U.S. military presence • 25%
Economic agreements without territorial change • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Official government announcements or credible news reports
Story
President-elect Trump Considers Military Action to Acquire Greenland
Jan 10, 2025, 06:36 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has reiterated his interest in acquiring Greenland, calling it an "absolute necessity" for U.S. national and economic security. In recent statements, Trump refused to rule out using military force to gain control of the island, which is an autonomous territory of Denmark. He has also suggested imposing high tariffs on Denmark if it resists U.S. interests in Greenland. Trump's son, Donald Trump Jr., along with Charlie Kirk, visited Greenland, claiming that locals expressed support for becoming part of the United States; however, Greenlandic officials have disputed these claims, describing the visit as "staged." Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen has reached out to Trump to discuss the issue, emphasizing that Greenland is not for sale while acknowledging Denmark's neglect of Greenland's defense. The U.S. interest in Greenland stems from its strategic location and abundant natural resources, including rare earth minerals. The situation has raised tensions with Denmark, a NATO ally, and prompted discussions on national security implications and geopolitical dynamics in the Arctic region.
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Formal negotiations start • 25%
Formal negotiations initiated • 25%
Interest officially dropped • 25%
No significant developments • 25%
No change in status • 25%
Other • 25%
Greenland reaffirms sovereignty • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
Other • 25%
Environmental research • 25%
Natural resource exploration • 25%
Strategic military presence • 25%
Economic investment • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military expansion • 25%
Environmental concerns • 25%
Military Action • 25%
No Action • 25%
Economic Coercion • 25%
Diplomatic Agreement • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Influence over Russia/China • 25%
Mineral resources • 25%
Security concerns • 25%
National Security • 25%
Other • 25%
Environmental Concerns • 25%
Economic Interests • 25%
Other • 25%
Military presence • 25%
Resource exploration • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Rare earth minerals • 25%
Oil and gas exploration • 25%
Military strategic positioning • 25%
Trade route access • 25%
No action • 25%
Economic incentives • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No Action • 25%
Economic Coercion • 25%
Military Action • 25%
Diplomatic Negotiation • 25%
Other • 25%
Mineral resources • 25%
Military presence • 25%
Shipping routes • 25%
Military actions • 25%
Economic actions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%