Market
What will be the outcome of U.S. interest in Greenland by end of 2025?
3
Greenland•Múte Egede•Arctic•United States•Donald Trump•Egede•Americans•Danish•Trump•Denmark•Lars Lokke Rasmussen•Greenlandic
Resolution / Starting Odds
Formal negotiations start • 25%
Interest officially dropped • 25%
No change in status • 25%
Other • 25%
Formal negotiations initiated • 25%
Greenland reaffirms sovereignty • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
No significant developments • 25%
Official announcements from Greenlandic, Danish, or U.S. governments
Story
Greenland PM Múte Egede Rejects U.S. Control, Seeks Sovereignty Amid Trump's Interest
Jan 21, 2025, 03:20 PM
Greenland's Prime Minister Múte Egede has firmly rejected any notion of the Arctic island becoming part of the United States, following renewed interest from President Donald Trump in acquiring control of the territory. Egede emphasized Greenland's autonomy and desire to determine its own future, stating, 'We don’t want to be Americans. We don’t want to be Danish.' Despite this, he expressed openness to continued cooperation with the U.S., particularly in military and security matters. Egede's comments come in response to Trump's assertion that Greenland would be beneficial for U.S. national security. Meanwhile, Denmark's Foreign Minister Lars Lokke Rasmussen has also weighed in, asserting that no country should be able to simply take another country, in reaction to Trump's remarks about Greenland. Additionally, a Greenlandic lawmaker suggested starting formal talks with Denmark about establishing Greenland as a sovereign state, highlighting the island's potential to manage independently.
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Interest Withdrawn • 25%
Formal Proposal Made • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Negotiations Started • 25%
Greenland remains under Danish control • 25%
No official response • 25%
Greenland is acquired by the US • 25%
Proposal rejected • 25%
Negotiations initiated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Denmark agrees to lease parts of Greenland to the US • 25%
Diplomatic Agreement • 25%
No Action • 25%
Military Action • 25%
Economic Coercion • 25%
Greenland joins the U.S. • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Denmark rejects offer • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Both reject negotiations • 25%
Denmark agrees to negotiations • 25%
Greenland agrees to negotiations • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
U.S. withdraws interest • 25%
Greenland acquisition successful • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Greenland acquisition rejected • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased U.S. military presence • 25%
Economic agreements without territorial change • 25%
Greenland becomes part of the U.S. • 25%
Negotiation attempt but unsuccessful • 25%
Successful negotiation for control • 25%
Other diplomatic agreement • 25%
No negotiation attempt • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Formal acquisition negotiations • 25%
Economic agreements • 25%
Successful acquisition • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Talks initiated but no acquisition • 25%
Denmark rejects proposal • 25%
Greenland gains more autonomy • 25%
No significant change • 25%
U.S. purchases Greenland • 25%
Denmark retains control without negotiations • 25%
US acquires Greenland • 25%
Negotiations continue without resolution • 25%
Other outcome • 25%