Market
Primary focus of U.S. policy on Greenland by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Military expansion • 25%
Economic investment • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Environmental concerns • 25%
Policy documents or official statements from the U.S. government
Story
Trump Eyes Greenland Acquisition to Counter China and Russia, Won't Rule Out Military Action
Jan 9, 2025, 12:51 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has expressed renewed interest in acquiring Greenland, an autonomous Danish territory home to 56,000 people, citing its strategic importance for U.S. national security. Trump has not ruled out the use of military action or economic measures, such as imposing tariffs on Denmark, to gain control of the Arctic island. He questions Denmark's legal claim to Greenland and suggests that its residents might vote for independence or to join the United States. Experts note that Greenland's rich resources, including rare earth minerals, oil, and gas, as well as its strategic location for missile defense and access to key maritime routes, make it a coveted asset amid growing global competition with China and Russia. The island is already home to a U.S. military base, and Trump's interest aligns with a broader expansionist agenda as part of his 'America First' policy.
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Natural resource exploration • 25%
Strategic military presence • 25%
Other • 25%
Environmental research • 25%
Rare earth minerals • 25%
Trade route access • 25%
Military strategic positioning • 25%
Oil and gas exploration • 25%
Increased U.S. military presence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Greenland becomes part of the U.S. • 25%
Economic agreements without territorial change • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Other • 25%
Resource exploration • 25%
Military presence • 25%
Military presence • 25%
Mineral resources • 25%
Other • 25%
Shipping routes • 25%
Strategic positioning • 25%
Economic interests • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
National security • 25%
Environmental research projects • 25%
Trade agreements with Denmark • 25%
Military base expansion • 25%
No significant initiatives • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic investments • 25%
Military presence increase • 25%
No Action • 25%
Diplomatic Negotiation • 25%
Economic Coercion • 25%
Military Action • 25%
No Action • 25%
Military Action • 25%
Economic Coercion • 25%
Diplomatic Agreement • 25%
National Security • 25%
Environmental Concerns • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic Interests • 25%
Decrease military presence • 25%
Maintain current presence • 25%
Increase military presence • 25%
Withdraw from Greenland • 25%