Market
What will be the main focus of US-Greenland talks by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Mineral resources • 25%
Military presence • 25%
Shipping routes • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements and press releases from involved parties
Story
Trump Seeks Greenland for Security, Island Rejects Annexation but Open to Talks on Mineral Resources
Jan 12, 2025, 08:52 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has expressed interest in acquiring Greenland, a semi-autonomous territory of Denmark, citing national security concerns. Trump has not ruled out the use of military or economic force to gain control of the island, which is strategically located between the U.S., Russia, and Europe. Greenland's Prime Minister Múte Egede has firmly rejected the idea of being annexed by the U.S., emphasizing Greenland's desire for independence. Egede has, however, agreed to negotiate with Trump's administration on areas of mutual interest, particularly regarding the island's mineral resources. The increased global attention on Greenland is also driven by the opening of new shipping routes due to melting ice and the territory's rich natural resources. Denmark, which retains responsibility for Greenland's defense, has been in private communication with Trump's team ahead of his inauguration on January 20.
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Military expansion • 25%
Economic investment • 25%
Environmental concerns • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Defense agreement • 25%
Economic partnership • 25%
Mining cooperation • 25%
No major step • 25%
Other • 25%
Environmental research • 25%
Natural resource exploration • 25%
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Increased U.S. military presence • 25%
Greenland becomes part of the U.S. • 25%
Economic agreements without territorial change • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Military presence • 25%
Resource exploration • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Other • 25%
Military strategic positioning • 25%
Rare earth minerals • 25%
Oil and gas exploration • 25%
Trade route access • 25%
Military Action • 25%
No Action • 25%
Diplomatic Agreement • 25%
Economic Coercion • 25%
Greenland gains more autonomy • 25%
U.S. purchases Greenland • 25%
Denmark rejects proposal • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Formal negotiations start • 25%
Formal negotiations initiated • 25%
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Greenland reaffirms sovereignty • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
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Interest officially dropped • 25%
Joint Committee • 25%
Danish Government • 25%
Greenlandic Premier • 25%
Other entity • 25%
No significant change • 34%
Increased cooperation without purchase • 33%
Formal purchase proposal • 33%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Both reject negotiations • 25%
Denmark agrees to negotiations • 25%
Greenland agrees to negotiations • 25%