Market
What will be the primary reason cited by the U.S. for interest in Greenland by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
National Security • 25%
Economic Interests • 25%
Environmental Concerns • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the U.S. government or credible news outlets
Story
Blinken Rejects Trump's Greenland Takeover for National Security, Citing No Military Force
Jan 8, 2025, 07:16 PM
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken dismissed President-elect Donald Trump's suggestion of a U.S. takeover of Greenland during a press conference in Paris, stating that it is 'obviously not a good one' and 'not going to happen.' Blinken emphasized that the U.S. achieves better results by working closely with allies rather than alienating them. This statement comes in response to Trump's recent comments where he expressed interest in acquiring Greenland for national security purposes and did not rule out the use of military force.
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Economic interests • 25%
Strategic positioning • 25%
National security • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Security concerns • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Influence over Russia/China • 25%
Mineral resources • 25%
Strategic military presence • 25%
Natural resource exploration • 25%
Environmental research • 25%
Other • 25%
Military strategic positioning • 25%
Oil and gas exploration • 25%
Rare earth minerals • 25%
Trade route access • 25%
Increased U.S. military presence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Economic agreements without territorial change • 25%
Greenland becomes part of the U.S. • 25%
Resource exploration • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Military presence • 25%
Military expansion • 25%
Environmental concerns • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic investment • 25%
Economic implications • 25%
Other • 25%
Sovereignty issues • 25%
Environmental impact • 25%
Diplomatic Negotiation • 25%
Military Action • 25%
No Action • 25%
Economic Coercion • 25%
Interest officially dropped • 25%
Formal negotiations initiated • 25%
Formal negotiations start • 25%
Other • 25%
No change in status • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
No significant developments • 25%
Greenland reaffirms sovereignty • 25%
Other • 25%
Shipping routes • 25%
Military presence • 25%
Mineral resources • 25%
No action • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Economic incentives • 25%