Market
What actions will the U.S. take regarding Greenland in 2025?
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Greenland•Múte Egede•Denmark•Frederik•Copenhagen•Donald Trump•Arctic•Trump•United States•Egede•Danish
Resolution / Starting Odds
Military actions • 25%
Economic actions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Official U.S. government announcements or credible news reports
Story
Greenland PM to Meet Danish King Amid Trump's Threats of Military or Economic Action for Island Control
Jan 8, 2025, 11:05 AM
Greenland's Prime Minister Múte Egede is set to meet with Denmark's King Frederik in Copenhagen on Wednesday, following remarks by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump expressing his desire to take control of the Arctic island. Trump, who will assume office on January 20, has not ruled out using military or economic measures against Denmark to incorporate Greenland, a semi-sovereign territory with a population of 57,000 that has been part of Denmark for 600 years, into the United States. The meeting comes after Trump's eldest son, Donald Trump Jr., made a private visit to Greenland. Egede, who supports Greenland's future independence from Denmark, had previously announced that the meeting with the king was postponed, but the Danish royal court confirmed it would proceed. Both Egede and Denmark have stated that Greenland is not for sale, and its future can only be decided by Greenlanders themselves.
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Economic Coercion • 25%
Diplomatic Agreement • 25%
Military Action • 25%
No Action • 25%
No action • 25%
Economic incentives • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Negotiation attempt but unsuccessful • 25%
No negotiation attempt • 25%
Successful negotiation for control • 25%
Other diplomatic agreement • 25%
Economic investments • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Military presence increase • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military coercion • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic incentives • 25%
No attempt made • 25%
Formal negotiations start • 25%
Formal negotiations initiated • 25%
Greenland reaffirms sovereignty • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
No significant developments • 25%
Interest officially dropped • 25%
No change in status • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased U.S. military presence • 25%
Economic agreements without territorial change • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Greenland becomes part of the U.S. • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Support • 25%
Other • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Formal acquisition negotiations • 25%
Economic agreements • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Opposition from major allies • 25%
Support from major allies • 25%
No official response • 25%
Greenland joins the U.S. • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Denmark rejects offer • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%