Market
Main reason cited for U.S. interest in Greenland by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
National security • 25%
Economic interests • 25%
Strategic positioning • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Official statements from U.S. government or credible news analysis
Story
Trump Considers Force to Acquire Greenland for National Security, Faces Opposition from Local Leaders
Jan 13, 2025, 04:37 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has expressed renewed interest in acquiring Greenland, a Danish autonomous territory, citing national security reasons. Trump has not ruled out using military or economic force to achieve this goal. His son, Donald Trump Jr., visited Greenland's capital, Nuuk, amid these discussions. Greenland's Prime Minister Múte Egede has rejected the idea of the island becoming part of the United States, emphasizing that Greenland's future should be decided by its residents. All five parties in Greenland's parliament have also voiced opposition to the territory joining the U.S. Greenland's strategic importance is heightened by its rich but largely untapped mineral resources and its position in the Arctic, where both Russia and China are increasing their presence.
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Environmental research • 25%
Strategic military presence • 25%
Natural resource exploration • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic Interests • 25%
Environmental Concerns • 25%
National Security • 25%
Other • 25%
Military strategic positioning • 25%
Trade route access • 25%
Oil and gas exploration • 25%
Rare earth minerals • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Influence over Russia/China • 25%
Mineral resources • 25%
Security concerns • 25%
Environmental concerns • 25%
Military expansion • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic investment • 25%
Increased U.S. military presence • 25%
Economic agreements without territorial change • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Greenland becomes part of the U.S. • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Resource exploration • 25%
Military presence • 25%
Other • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
Formal negotiations start • 25%
Interest officially dropped • 25%
No change in status • 25%
Other • 25%
Formal negotiations initiated • 25%
Greenland reaffirms sovereignty • 25%
No significant developments • 25%
Military base expansion • 25%
Environmental research projects • 25%
Trade agreements with Denmark • 25%
No significant initiatives • 25%
Economic investments • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military presence increase • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
No Action • 25%
Diplomatic Agreement • 25%
Economic Coercion • 25%
Military Action • 25%
Mineral resources • 25%
Shipping routes • 25%
Military presence • 25%
Other • 25%