Market
What will be the outcome of U.S.-Panama negotiations over the Panama Canal by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Panama agrees to U.S. control • 25%
Panama rejects U.S. control • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
No negotiations initiated • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. and Panama governments or major news outlets
Story
Trump Threatens Invasion of Panama Canal, Reiterates Desire to Buy Greenland for National Security Reasons, 100% Serious
Dec 23, 2024, 09:00 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has reiterated his desire for the United States to acquire Greenland and has threatened to take control of the Panama Canal. During recent statements, Trump described the acquisition of Greenland as an 'absolute necessity' for national security and suggested that the U.S. should consider an invasion of Panama to regain control of the canal. His remarks have sparked discussions about potential expansionist policies, raising concerns among international observers. Both the government of Greenland and Panama's president have rejected Trump's claims, indicating a lack of support for his proposals. Sources close to Trump have stated he is '100% serious' about these ambitions, which are seen as part of a broader strategy to counter perceived threats from China and Russia.
View original story
Similar markets
Panama retains control • 25%
No significant change • 25%
U.S. gains control • 25%
Joint control agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
U.S. regains control • 25%
Joint control established • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
No negotiations initiated • 25%
Successful reacquisition • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Negotiations failed • 25%
Joint control agreement • 25%
U.S. regains control • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Panama retains control with fee reduction • 25%
Negotiations continue without resolution • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Panama agrees to U.S. demands • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Shared control agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
U.S. regains control • 25%
Panama rejects • 25%
Panama agrees • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
US withdraws proposal • 25%
No Action • 25%
Diplomatic Agreement • 25%
Economic Coercion • 25%
Military Action • 25%
International mediation • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful negotiation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Panama reduces fees • 25%
U.S. gains control of canal • 25%
Impose economic sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Reclaim control • 25%
Increase military presence • 25%