Market
What will be the outcome of U.S.-Panama negotiations over canal fees by 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
U.S. gains control of canal • 25%
Panama reduces fees • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. or Panama governments or credible news agencies
Story
Trump Threatens to Reclaim Panama Canal Over Overcharging, Citing Monroe Doctrine
Dec 21, 2024, 11:46 PM
President Donald Trump has announced intentions to potentially reclaim control of the Panama Canal if Panama does not cease what he describes as overcharging U.S. ships. In a series of statements, Trump emphasized that he views the current management of the canal as a 'complete ripoff' and has threatened to demand its return to U.S. ownership. This announcement aligns with his broader approach to foreign policy, reminiscent of the Monroe Doctrine. The remarks were made in the context of ongoing discussions about international trade and U.S. interests in the region.
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Similar markets
U.S. control over canal • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Fees unchanged • 25%
Fees reduced • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Fees reduced • 25%
Fees remain unchanged • 25%
Fees increased • 25%
No negotiations initiated • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Panama rejects U.S. control • 25%
Panama agrees to U.S. control • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Joint control agreement • 25%
U.S. gains control • 25%
Panama retains control • 25%
Joint control agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
U.S. regains control • 25%
Panama retains control with fee reduction • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Joint control established • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
U.S. regains control • 25%
Fees unchanged • 25%
Variable fees based on country • 25%
Increased fees • 25%
Decreased fees • 25%
No negotiations initiated • 25%
Successful reacquisition • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Negotiations failed • 25%
Negotiations continue without resolution • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Panama agrees to U.S. demands • 25%
No significant change • 25%
