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Will the U.S. and Panama reach an agreement on the Panama Canal by end of 2025?
3
Dusty Johnson•Panama Canal Repurchase Act•Donald Trump•Panama Canal•Republic of Panama•Trump•House•Johnson•Republican•American•Chinese
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the U.S. State Department or the Government of Panama
Story
Dusty Johnson Introduces Panama Canal Repurchase Act Allowing Trump to Acquire Canal for $1 and Bring It Under U.S. Control
Jan 8, 2025, 10:46 PM
House Republican Representative Dusty Johnson is set to introduce the 'Panama Canal Repurchase Act,' which would authorize President-elect Donald Trump to negotiate the reacquisition of the Panama Canal from the Republic of Panama for a symbolic amount of $1. The proposed legislation aims to bring the canal back under U.S. control, a move that aligns with Trump's recent calls for such an acquisition. The bill is expected to be introduced on the House floor shortly after Trump's inauguration. Johnson's initiative reflects a broader Republican strategy to reassert American influence in the region, particularly in light of concerns over Chinese expansion. The introduction of this bill has garnered attention as it seeks to fulfill Trump's longstanding interest in the canal.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Panama rejects U.S. control • 25%
No negotiations initiated • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Panama agrees to U.S. control • 25%
U.S. regains control • 25%
Joint control agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Panama retains control with fee reduction • 25%
Joint control agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Panama retains control • 25%
U.S. gains control • 25%
Panama agrees to U.S. demands • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Negotiations continue without resolution • 25%
Shared control agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
U.S. regains control • 25%
Successful reacquisition • 25%
No negotiations initiated • 25%
Negotiations failed • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
U.S. regains control • 25%
Joint control established • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Panama agrees • 25%
Panama rejects • 25%
US withdraws proposal • 25%