Market
What will be the outcome of U.S.-Panama canal fee discussions by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Fees reduced • 25%
Fees unchanged • 25%
U.S. control over canal • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official joint statements or press releases from U.S. and Panamanian governments
Story
Trump Threatens to Reclaim Panama Canal Over 'Exorbitant' Fees and Chinese Influence
Dec 22, 2024, 11:30 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has suggested that the United States might demand the return of the Panama Canal if Panama does not reduce the fees charged to U.S. ships. Speaking at 'America Fest' in Phoenix, Trump criticized the fees as 'exorbitant' and 'ridiculous,' labeling the 1977 treaty that ceded control to Panama as a mistake and stating that the U.S. 'foolishly' gave away the canal. He also expressed concerns about potential Chinese influence over the strategic waterway. Trump threatened to reassert U.S. control over the canal if fees are not lowered. Panama's President responded sharply, affirming that the canal and surrounding areas are sovereign Panamanian territory and that their sovereignty is not negotiable. Trump's remarks have drawn international attention and raised concerns about potential tensions between the United States and Panama.
View original story
Similar markets
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
U.S. gains control of canal • 25%
Panama reduces fees • 25%
Panama retains control • 25%
U.S. gains control • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Joint control agreement • 25%
Fees remain unchanged • 25%
Fees reduced • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Fees increased • 25%
No negotiations initiated • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Panama rejects U.S. control • 25%
Panama agrees to U.S. control • 25%
U.S. regains control • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Joint control agreement • 25%
Panama retains control with fee reduction • 25%
Negotiate new treaty • 25%
Demand fee reduction • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Reclaim canal • 25%
Shared control agreement • 25%
U.S. regains control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
No negotiations initiated • 25%
Successful reacquisition • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Negotiations failed • 25%
Joint control established • 25%
U.S. regains control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Negotiations continue without resolution • 25%
Panama agrees to U.S. demands • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
