Market
How will Panama Canal management change by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
U.S. partial ownership • 25%
Panama retains full control • 25%
Joint management • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Official announcements from the Panama Canal Authority or credible news reports
Story
Trump Threatens to Reclaim Panama Canal Over Overcharging, Citing Monroe Doctrine
Dec 21, 2024, 11:46 PM
President Donald Trump has announced intentions to potentially reclaim control of the Panama Canal if Panama does not cease what he describes as overcharging U.S. ships. In a series of statements, Trump emphasized that he views the current management of the canal as a 'complete ripoff' and has threatened to demand its return to U.S. ownership. This announcement aligns with his broader approach to foreign policy, reminiscent of the Monroe Doctrine. The remarks were made in the context of ongoing discussions about international trade and U.S. interests in the region.
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Joint China-Panama management • 25%
Joint U.S.-Panama management • 25%
Remain under current management • 25%
New international consortium • 25%
Joint management initiative • 25%
Revised toll policies • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
No change • 25%
Ownership change • 25%
Joint operations with another country • 25%
No changes • 25%
Operational changes • 25%
No changes • 25%
Operational changes • 25%
Other significant impacts • 25%
Governance changes • 25%
U.S. increases influence • 25%
China increases influence • 25%
No change • 25%
Panama strengthens control • 25%
Other impact • 25%
Decreased U.S. influence • 25%
No change • 25%
Increased U.S. influence • 25%
Other • 25%
Chinese Control • 25%
Panamanian Control • 25%
U.S. Control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
U.S. regains control • 25%
Shared control agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Military Action • 25%
No Action • 25%
Diplomatic Agreement • 25%
Economic Coercion • 25%
China gains control • 25%
Other entity gains control • 25%
Panama retains control • 25%
U.S. gains control • 25%