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What changes will occur in U.S. foreign policy toward NATO and Ukraine by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Withdrawal from NATO • 25%
Increased support for NATO • 25%
Reduced aid to Ukraine • 25%
Increased aid to Ukraine • 25%
Official U.S. government policy announcements or credible news sources reporting on policy changes
Story
Trump Considers U.S. NATO Exit and Ukraine Aid Reduction
Dec 8, 2024, 04:41 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has indicated he would consider withdrawing the United States from NATO and reducing aid to Ukraine, according to statements made during an interview on NBC's 'Meet The Press'. Trump's comments suggest a potential shift in U.S. foreign policy, which could have significant implications for international alliances and support for Ukraine amid ongoing conflicts.
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No change in Ukraine's status • 25%
NATO membership talks initiated • 25%
Ukraine admitted to NATO • 25%
Ukraine offered a pathway to membership • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
No change • 25%
Decreased military aid • 25%
Increased military support • 25%
Decreased military support • 25%
Increased economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
No change in military aid • 25%
Decreased military aid • 25%
Withdrawal of all military aid • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
No change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Increase • 25%
Increase military support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Push for diplomatic solution • 25%
Decrease military support • 25%
Ukraine remains outside NATO with increased cooperation • 25%
Ukraine receives no further NATO support • 25%
Ukraine joins NATO • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased cooperation • 25%
Military buildup • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Decreased involvement • 25%
Continued current support levels • 25%
Increased military involvement • 25%
Diplomatic resolution with Russia • 25%
Withdraw support • 25%
Increase support • 25%
Maintain current level • 25%
Decrease support • 25%
No significant changes • 34%
Changes in defense commitments • 33%
Changes in membership criteria • 33%
Increased support • 25%
No change • 25%
Other policy change • 25%
Decreased support • 25%