Market
What will be the outcome of U.S. actions regarding Greenland by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful negotiation for control • 25%
No negotiation attempt • 25%
Negotiation attempt but unsuccessful • 25%
Other diplomatic agreement • 25%
Official government announcements or credible news sources
Story
Trump Demands Control of Greenland for National Security, Criticizes Panama Canal Fees
Dec 25, 2024, 04:57 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has reignited discussions about U.S. territorial ambitions by suggesting that the United States should take control of Greenland and the Panama Canal. Trump has stated that owning Greenland is an 'absolute necessity' for national security and global freedom, despite Greenland's leader firmly stating that the territory is not for sale. Regarding the Panama Canal, Trump criticized the fees charged by Panama as 'ridiculous' and threatened to demand its return to the U.S. if the situation does not change. These statements have provoked strong reactions from the leaders of Greenland and Panama, who have reaffirmed their sovereignty over their respective territories. Trump's comments have sparked international debate and criticism, highlighting tensions over territorial control and U.S. foreign policy.
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Greenland rejects negotiations • 25%
Denmark intervenes • 25%
No official outcome • 25%
Greenland agrees to negotiations • 25%
No Action • 25%
Military Action • 25%
Economic Coercion • 25%
Diplomatic Agreement • 25%
Economic agreements • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Formal acquisition negotiations • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Greenland is acquired by the US • 25%
Greenland remains under Danish control • 25%
Negotiations initiated • 25%
Denmark agrees to lease parts of Greenland to the US • 25%
No official response • 25%
Proposal rejected • 25%
Denmark rejects offer • 25%
Greenland joins the U.S. • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Greenland agrees to negotiations • 25%
Both reject negotiations • 25%
Denmark agrees to negotiations • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
Formal negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant developments • 25%
Formal negotiations start • 25%
Interest officially dropped • 25%
No change in status • 25%
Other • 25%
Greenland reaffirms sovereignty • 25%
Economic actions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military actions • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
U.S. withdraws interest • 25%
Greenland acquisition successful • 25%
Greenland acquisition rejected • 25%
No significant change • 34%
Formal purchase proposal • 33%
Increased cooperation without purchase • 33%
U.S.-Denmark agreement on Greenland • 25%
Continued stalemate • 25%
Denmark strengthens defense of Greenland • 25%
Third-party mediation • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Support from major allies • 25%
Opposition from major allies • 25%
No official response • 25%