Market
What will be the outcome of U.S. efforts to acquire Greenland by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Greenland is acquired by the US • 25%
Greenland remains under Danish control • 25%
Denmark agrees to lease parts of Greenland to the US • 25%
Negotiations initiated • 25%
Proposal rejected • 25%
No official response • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official statements from the Danish government or U.S. government
Story
Trump Seeks Greenland Acquisition to Counter Russia and China, Pressures Denmark
Jan 21, 2025, 01:42 AM
U.S. President Donald Trump has reiterated his interest in acquiring Greenland, emphasizing its importance for international security to combat Russia and China. Speaking from the Oval Office, Trump stated that Greenland is a 'wonderful place' and necessary for international security, suggesting that Denmark, which currently administers the island, would eventually agree to the transfer due to the high maintenance costs. Trump also mentioned that the people of Greenland are unhappy with Denmark and might prefer U.S. governance. This statement comes amidst concerns from Denmark's foreign minister, who emphasized that no country should be able to simply take another country's territory.
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Denmark rejects offer • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Greenland joins the U.S. • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Greenland acquisition successful • 25%
Greenland acquisition rejected • 25%
U.S. withdraws interest • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant developments • 25%
Greenland holds referendum • 25%
Greenland rejects U.S. proposal • 25%
Greenland agrees to negotiations • 25%
Efforts abandoned • 25%
Greenland acquired by U.S. • 25%
Offer Rejected by Denmark • 25%
Purchase Agreement Reached • 25%
No Formal Offer Made • 25%
Negotiations Ongoing • 25%
Rejected by Denmark • 25%
Accepted by Denmark • 25%
No Proposal Made • 25%
Withdrawn by U.S. • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
No official proposal made • 25%
Purchase completed • 25%
Purchase rejected • 25%
Talks initiated but no acquisition • 25%
Successful acquisition • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%
Greenland remains with Denmark • 25%
Negotiations start • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Greenland becomes U.S. territory • 25%
Greenland agrees to negotiations • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Denmark agrees to negotiations • 25%
Both reject negotiations • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Accepted • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
No formal proposal made • 25%
Negotiations Started • 25%
Interest Withdrawn • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Formal Proposal Made • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Economic agreements • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Formal acquisition negotiations • 25%