Market
What will be the outcome of TikTok's U.S. operations bid by April 7, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Acquired by MrBeast-led group • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
No acquisition, TikTok banned • 25%
No acquisition, TikTok remains operational • 25%
Official announcements from ByteDance or the U.S. government
Story
MrBeast Joins All-Cash Bid for TikTok's U.S. Operations as ByteDance Faces 75-Day Deadline
Jan 22, 2025, 05:45 PM
MrBeast, whose real name is Jimmy Donaldson and is known as a YouTube star with over 346 million subscribers and the internet's highest-earning content creator, has joined a group of American investors led by tech entrepreneur Jesse Tinsley in an all-cash bid to acquire TikTok's U.S. operations. This move comes as a response to a looming 75-day deadline set by President Donald Trump for ByteDance, TikTok's Chinese parent company, to divest its U.S. operations or face a potential ban. The investor group, which includes institutional investors and high-net-worth individuals, aims to ensure TikTok remains accessible and operational in the U.S. while addressing national security concerns. The specifics of the offer, including the amount and the full list of investors, have not been disclosed. TikTok, with approximately 170 million users in the U.S., briefly went offline over the weekend but was restored following Trump's executive order extending the deadline by 75 days.
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No change in ownership • 25%
Banned with no sale • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Acquired by MrBeast and Jesse Tinsley's group • 25%
Another group wins bid • 25%
Bid is extended • 25%
No sale occurs • 25%
MrBeast's group wins bid • 25%
U.S. government ownership • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban lifted with no sale or government ownership • 25%
No sale, TikTok banned • 25%
Microsoft acquires • 25%
Another company acquires • 25%
No sale, TikTok not banned • 25%
Other • 25%
Sold to another non-Chinese entity • 25%
Sold to Kevin O'Leary • 25%
Not sold and banned • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Remains banned • 25%
Operations resumed under ByteDance • 25%
Acquired by Elon Musk • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Other • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk • 25%
Sold to another U.S. entity • 25%
Not sold, ban overturned • 25%
Operations banned in the U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk's X • 25%
Supreme Court delays or overturns the ban • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Supreme Court upholds ban and TikTok shuts down • 25%
TikTok sold to an approved buyer • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Extension granted for divestment • 25%
TikTok is banned in the U.S. • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues operations • 25%
Continues operations without change • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Acquired by Elon Musk • 25%
Acquisition Successful • 25%
Deal Canceled • 25%
Negotiations Extended • 25%
Acquisition Unsuccessful • 25%
No sale completed, TikTok banned • 25%
Further extension granted • 25%
Sold to a non-U.S., non-Chinese company • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Resumes operations • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Remains banned • 25%
Other • 25%