Market
What will be the outcome of the TikTok U.S. sale by April 7, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
MrBeast's group wins bid • 25%
Another group wins bid • 25%
No sale occurs • 25%
Bid is extended • 25%
Official announcements from ByteDance or credible news sources
Story
MrBeast Joins All-Cash Bid to Buy TikTok Amid 75-Day U.S. Ban Deadline
Jan 22, 2025, 02:37 PM
MrBeast, whose real name is Jimmy Donaldson, has joined a group of American investors led by tech entrepreneur Jesse Tinsley in an effort to purchase TikTok's U.S. operations. The group, which includes institutional investors and high-net-worth individuals, has submitted an all-cash bid for the social media platform. This move comes as TikTok faces a potential ban in the U.S., with a 75-day deadline set by President Donald Trump for ByteDance, TikTok's parent company, to sell the app or face prohibition. MrBeast, known for being the internet's most-followed and highest-earning content creator with 346 million subscribers on YouTube, expressed his enthusiasm about potentially becoming TikTok's new CEO. The specifics of the offer, including the amount, have not been disclosed.
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Banned with no sale • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Acquired by MrBeast and Jesse Tinsley's group • 25%
No change in ownership • 25%
Sold to Kevin O'Leary • 25%
Other • 25%
Not sold and banned • 25%
Sold to another non-Chinese entity • 25%
Ban lifted with no sale or government ownership • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
U.S. government ownership • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Not sold • 25%
Sale postponed • 25%
Sold to another party • 25%
Sold to McCourt and O’Leary • 25%
Acquisition Unsuccessful • 25%
Acquisition Successful • 25%
Negotiations Extended • 25%
Deal Canceled • 25%
Not sold • 25%
Sold to US-based company • 25%
Sold to non-US company • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk • 25%
Sold to another U.S. entity • 25%
Not sold, ban overturned • 25%
Operations banned in the U.S. • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk's X • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Supreme Court upholds ban and TikTok shuts down • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Other • 25%
TikTok sold to an approved buyer • 25%
Supreme Court delays or overturns the ban • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Further negotiations ongoing • 25%
Deal approved by China • 25%
Deal rejected by China • 25%
No deal reached • 25%
Remains banned • 25%
Acquired by Elon Musk • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Operations resumed under ByteDance • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Extension granted for divestment • 25%
TikTok is banned in the U.S. • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues operations • 25%
Complete sale to a U.S. entity • 25%
50% U.S. ownership joint venture • 25%
Other agreement • 25%
Continued operation under current ownership • 25%
Faced Ban • 25%
Granted Extension • 25%
Negotiated Sale • 25%
Addressed Security Concerns • 25%