Market
What will be the outcome of TikTok's legal challenge against the U.S. ban by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Court rulings or official legal documents
Story
TikTok Goes Dark in US, Affecting 170 Million Users; Trump Considers 90-Day Extension
Jan 19, 2025, 04:09 AM
TikTok has ceased operations in the United States, affecting its 170 million users, as a federal ban on the app took effect. The shutdown was announced through a pop-up message on the app, informing users that a law banning TikTok had been enacted and that the service would be temporarily unavailable. The app has also been removed from Apple and Google app stores in the U.S. The ban stems from a law requiring TikTok's Chinese parent company, ByteDance, to divest the platform or face a ban. President-elect Donald Trump has indicated he may grant TikTok a 90-day extension to avoid the ban once he takes office on Monday.
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Similar markets
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Ban delayed, temporary reprieve • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ban overturned, TikTok operations continue • 25%
Ban Overturned • 33%
Settlement Reached • 34%
Ban Upheld • 33%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok shut down • 25%
Ban blocked, TikTok continues • 25%
TikTok sold to non-Chinese entity • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
TikTok wins • 25%
US government wins • 25%
Case unresolved • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Divestment postponed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Divestment proceeds • 25%
Divestment blocked • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban remains in place • 25%
Ban partially lifted with restrictions • 25%
Ban lifted completely • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Case ongoing • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Ban upheld, ByteDance divests • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Legal battle ongoing • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ongoing legal battle • 25%
Ban implemented • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%