Market
What will be the outcome of TikTok's efforts to lift the U.S. ban by Dec 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ban lifted completely • 25%
Ban partially lifted with restrictions • 25%
Ban remains in place • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from ByteDance, the U.S. government, or credible news sources
Story
Apple Removes TikTok and ByteDance's Lemon8 From U.S. App Store Following Ban
Jan 19, 2025, 03:54 AM
Apple Inc. has removed TikTok from the U.S. App Store, following a ban that has taken effect. The popular social video platform, owned by ByteDance, is no longer available for download in the U.S., affecting users who might want to reinstall the app. Additionally, Lemon8, another app owned by ByteDance, has also been delisted from the App Store.
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Similar markets
Settlement reached • 25%
US government wins • 25%
TikTok wins • 25%
Case unresolved • 25%
Temporary reprieve granted • 25%
Ban remains in effect • 25%
Ban lifted permanently • 25%
Other • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. company • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
TikTok resumes without sale • 25%
TikTok remains banned • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
TikTok sold to non-Chinese entity • 25%
Ban blocked, TikTok continues • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok shut down • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
TikTok granted extension • 33%
TikTok banned • 33%
TikTok divested • 34%
Other resolution • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Ban delayed, temporary reprieve • 25%
Ban overturned, TikTok operations continue • 25%
Ban Upheld • 33%
Ban Overturned • 33%
Settlement Reached • 34%
Ban is temporarily blocked by Supreme Court • 25%
Ban is reversed by Trump • 25%
Ban is enforced • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Divestiture completed • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%