Market
What will be the outcome of the TikTok ban controversy by June 30, 2025?
2
Tom Cotton•Pete Ricketts•Donald Trump•TikTok•Cotton•Senate Intelligence Committee•Republican•Trump•Ricketts
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Legal battle ongoing • 25%
Official government announcements, legal documents, or credible news sources
Story
Senate Intelligence Chair Tom Cotton Opposes Trump's TikTok Delay, Warns Companies of Billion-Dollar Liabilities
Jan 19, 2025, 06:14 PM
Republican Senators Tom Cotton and Pete Ricketts are opposing President Donald Trump's plan to delay the TikTok ban, asserting that there is no legal basis for any extension now that the law has taken effect. Senator Cotton, Chair of the Senate Intelligence Committee and the first Republican leader to openly oppose President Trump on this issue, emphasized the national security threat posed by TikTok, calling it a 'communist-controlled' app. He warned that companies hosting or supporting TikTok could face billions in fines and that state attorneys general may sue if the federal government does not act. Despite President Trump's desire to delay the ban through an executive order, Cotton and Ricketts challenge the legality of such a move, insisting that the ban should be enforced to safeguard U.S. security.
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Similar markets
Ban is reversed by Trump • 25%
Ban is enforced • 25%
Ban is temporarily blocked by Supreme Court • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
TikTok sold • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban implemented • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ongoing legal battle • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. company • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
TikTok resumes without sale • 25%
TikTok remains banned • 25%
TikTok granted extension • 33%
TikTok banned • 33%
TikTok divested • 34%
No decision • 25%
Ban implemented • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban modified • 25%
Temporary reprieve granted • 25%
Ban remains in effect • 25%
Other • 25%
Ban lifted permanently • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok shut down • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok sold to non-Chinese entity • 25%
Ban blocked, TikTok continues • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%