Market
What will be the number of TikTok users in the U.S. by the end of 2025 if operations resume?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 100 million • 25%
100-150 million • 25%
150-200 million • 25%
More than 200 million • 25%
Official reports from TikTok or market research firms
Story
TikTok Goes Dark in US, Affecting 170 Million Users; Trump Considers 90-Day Extension
Jan 19, 2025, 04:09 AM
TikTok has ceased operations in the United States, affecting its 170 million users, as a federal ban on the app took effect. The shutdown was announced through a pop-up message on the app, informing users that a law banning TikTok had been enacted and that the service would be temporarily unavailable. The app has also been removed from Apple and Google app stores in the U.S. The ban stems from a law requiring TikTok's Chinese parent company, ByteDance, to divest the platform or face a ban. President-elect Donald Trump has indicated he may grant TikTok a 90-day extension to avoid the ban once he takes office on Monday.
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Similar markets
130-150 million • 25%
150-170 million • 25%
Above 170 million • 25%
Below 130 million • 25%
150 to 200 million • 25%
More than 200 million • 25%
100 to 150 million • 25%
Less than 100 million • 25%
More than 200 million • 25%
150-200 million • 25%
100-150 million • 25%
Less than 100 million • 25%
Platform banned • 25%
User base increases • 25%
User base stable • 25%
User base decreases • 25%
User base remains stable • 25%
User base decreases • 25%
User base increases • 25%
TikTok exits U.S. market • 25%
Over 170 million • 25%
100-150 million • 25%
Under 100 million • 25%
150-170 million • 25%
User base remains stable • 25%
User base decreases • 25%
Platform inaccessible • 25%
User base increases • 25%
Increase in users • 25%
Data not available • 25%
Decrease in users • 25%
No significant change • 25%
More than 150 million • 25%
Less than 50 million • 25%
50-100 million • 25%
100-150 million • 25%
Less than 100 million • 25%
Over 170 million • 25%
150-170 million • 25%
100-150 million • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Continues Ban • 25%
Resumes Operations • 25%
Partial Operations • 25%
1.2 to 1.5 billion • 25%
Less than 1 billion • 25%
1 to 1.2 billion • 25%
More than 1.5 billion • 25%