Market
What will be the outcome of TikTok's appeal against the U.S. ban by January 19, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Court rulings and official announcements from the U.S. Court of Appeals or Supreme Court
Story
TikTok Appeals U.S. Ban Effective January 19, 2025, as Trump Signals Support
Dec 9, 2024, 07:24 AM
On Friday, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit upheld a law requiring TikTok's Chinese parent company, ByteDance, to sell the popular app or face a ban in the United States by January 19, 2025. TikTok, which has 170 million U.S. users, and ByteDance have filed an emergency motion seeking an injunction to block the law until their appeal can be heard by the Supreme Court. President-elect Donald Trump has indicated he may try to halt the ban and save the app. The legislation reflects bipartisan concerns in Congress over national security and data privacy. TikTok argues that the ban would violate the First Amendment and denies allegations of data misuse.
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Similar markets
TikTok sold to non-Chinese entity • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok shut down • 25%
Ban blocked, TikTok continues • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban delayed, temporary reprieve • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Ban overturned, TikTok operations continue • 25%
Ban is reversed by Trump • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban is temporarily blocked by Supreme Court • 25%
Ban is enforced • 25%
TikTok divested • 34%
TikTok banned • 33%
TikTok granted extension • 33%
Ban is modified • 34%
Ban remains in place • 33%
Ban is repealed • 33%
Ban upheld • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Ban Overturned • 33%
Ban Upheld • 33%
Settlement Reached • 34%
Settlement reached • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Appeal Granted • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Compromise reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Appeal Denied • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
US government wins • 25%
TikTok wins • 25%
Case unresolved • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Case ongoing • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Divestment proceeds • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Divestment postponed • 25%
Divestment blocked • 25%